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Author: Gayle, Wayne-Roy
Resulting in 1 citation.
1. Benitez-Silva, Hugo
Dwyer, Debra S.
Gayle, Wayne-Roy
Muench, Thomas, J.
Expectations in Micro Data: Rationality Revisted
Working Paper, Department of Economics, SUNY-Stony Brook, February 2004.
Cohort(s): NLSY79
Publisher: Department of Economics, SUNY-Stony Brook
Keyword(s): Educational Aspirations/Expectations; Educational Attainment; Modeling

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

An increasing number of longitudinal data sets collect expectations information regarding a variety of future individual level events and decisions, providing researchers with the opportunity to explore expectations over micro variables in detail. We provide a theoretical framework and an econometric methodology to use that type of information to test the Rational Expectations (RE) hypothesis in models of individual behavior. This RE assumption at the micro level underlies a majority of the research in applied fields in economics, and it is the common foundation of most work in dynamic models of individual behavior. We present tests using two different panel data sets that represent two very different populations. In both cases we cannot reject the RE hypothesis. Our results support a wide variety of models in economics, and other disciplines, that assume rational behavior.
Bibliography Citation
Benitez-Silva, Hugo, Debra S. Dwyer, Wayne-Roy Gayle and Thomas Muench. "Expectations in Micro Data: Rationality Revisted." Working Paper, Department of Economics, SUNY-Stony Brook, February 2004.