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Author: Buchinsky, Moshe

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1.	Buchinsky, Moshe Hunt, Jennifer
1.	Wage Mobility in the United States NBER Working Paper No. 5455, National Bureau of Economic Research, February 1996. Also: http://nber.nber.org/papers/W5455 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Keyword(s): Mobility; Wage Differentials; Wage Dynamics; Wages This paper examines the mobility of individuals through the wage and earnings distributions. This is of extreme importance since mobility has a direct implication for the way one views the vast changes in wage and earnings inequality in the United States over the last few decades. The measures of wage and earnings mobility analyzed are based on data for individuals surveyed in the National Longitudinal Survey for Youth from 1979 to 1991. We introduce summary measures of mobility computed over varying time horizons in order to examine how the effect on measured inequality as the time frame is increased The results suggest that mobility is predominantly within group mobility and increases most rapidly when the time horizon is extended up to four years, reducing wage inequality by 12-26%. We proceed therefore with more detailed examination of short-term (year-to-year) within group mobility, by estimating non-parametrically transition probabilities among quintiles of the distribution. We find that the staying probabilities by quintiles, were higher at the higher quintiles throughout the period for both wages and earnings and that mobility is declining over time. Hence, this paper suggests that while the level of wage inequality in the United States is somewhat lower once mobility is taken into account, the sharp increase in inequality during the 1980's is worse than it appears, due to falling mobility over time. Full-text available on-line: http://nber.nber.org/papers/W5455
	Bibliography Citation Buchinsky, Moshe and Jennifer Hunt. "Wage Mobility in the United States." NBER Working Paper No. 5455, National Bureau of Economic Research, February 1996.

2.	Buchinsky, Moshe Hunt, Jennifer
2.	Wage Mobility in the United States Review of Economics and Statistics 81,3 (August 1999): 351-368. Also: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2646760 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: Harvard University Press Keyword(s): Earnings; Mobility; Wages Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. This paper examines the mobility of individuals through the wage and earnings distributions, using 1979-1991 data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth. Lifetime wages will be more equally distributed than wages from any single year if individuals change position in the wage distribution over time. The results suggest that mobility is predominantly within group mobility, reducing wage inequality by 12%-26% over a four-year horizon. A detailed examination of within-group mobility, using year-to-year estimates of transition probabilities among quintiles of the distribution, reveals similar general patterns across all skill groups: mobility declined significantly over the years, especially at the lower end of the wage and earnings distributions.
	Bibliography Citation Buchinsky, Moshe and Jennifer Hunt. "Wage Mobility in the United States." Review of Economics and Statistics 81,3 (August 1999): 351-368.

3.	Mezza, Alvaro Buchinsky, Moshe
3.	Illegal Drugs, Education, and Labor Market Outcomes Journal of Econometrics published online (22 September 2020): DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2019.03.009. Also: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407620303316 Cohort(s): NLSY97 Publisher: Elsevier Keyword(s): Drug Use; Educational Attainment; Labor Market Outcomes; Male Sample; Wages In this paper we investigate the causal effects of consuming illegal drugs on educational attainment, employment, and wages. To identify these effects we develop and estimate a dynamic structural model to jointly consider decisions of whether to consume drugs, attend school, participate in the labor force, and save. Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 (NLSY97), we focus our analysis on males; the period of analysis begins at age 13, when they are young enough to have had no experience with drugs. Contrary to findings in the literature, non-drug users have higher wages than marijuana and/or hard drug users. This effect is small for individuals who consume marijuana in low doses but increases with the frequency of drug use. Results from a counterfactual experiment suggest that a 30 percent increase in the price of marijuana each period would reduce the number of marijuana consumers among the 13- to 30-year-olds by 16 percent. Individuals who are dissuaded from consuming marijuana due to the higher price would increase their level of education, their annual income, and work more.
	Bibliography Citation Mezza, Alvaro and Moshe Buchinsky. "Illegal Drugs, Education, and Labor Market Outcomes." Journal of Econometrics published online (22 September 2020): DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2019.03.009.

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