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Title: Socio-Economic Effects of Teen Childbearing Re-Considered: A Re-Analysis of the Teen Miscarriage Experiment
Resulting in 1 citation.
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Hoffman, Saul D. |
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Socio-Economic Effects of Teen Childbearing Re-Considered: A Re-Analysis of the Teen Miscarriage Experiment Working Paper No. 2003-08, Department of Economics, University of Delaware, September 2003. Also: http://www.lerner.udel.edu/sites/default/files/imce/economics/WorkingPapers/2003/UDWP2003-08.pdf Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: Department of Economics, University of Delaware Keyword(s): Abortion; Adolescent Fertility; Childbearing; Childbearing, Adolescent; Pregnancy and Pregnancy Outcomes; Pregnancy, Adolescent Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. In an important contribution to the literature on the socio-economic impacts of teen childbearing, Hotz, McElroy, and Sanders used a natural experiment based on the random occurrence of miscarriages. They concluded that the negative impacts of teen childbearing had been substantially exaggerated. In a replication of their work, I identify a number of important errors that undermine their results. Correction and re-estimation with their data show substantially smaller impacts on income variables. Re-estimation with a new data set yields impacts that are smaller yet. The re-estimation generally does not alter the sign of the estimated effects, but does lead to a much more modest conclusion. |
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Bibliography Citation
Hoffman, Saul D. "Socio-Economic Effects of Teen Childbearing Re-Considered: A Re-Analysis of the Teen Miscarriage Experiment." Working Paper No. 2003-08, Department of Economics, University of Delaware, September 2003. |