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Title: Real Wages over the Business Cycle: Evidence from Panel Data
Resulting in 1 citation.
1. Bils, Mark J.
Real Wages over the Business Cycle: Evidence from Panel Data
Journal of Political Economy 93,4 (August 1985): 666-689.
Also: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1832132
Cohort(s): Young Men
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Keyword(s): Behavior; Business Cycles; Unemployment Rate; Wages

The cyclical behavior of real wages has been the subject of numerous studies, most of which used aggregated time-series data. In contrast, the present analysis employs disaggregated, panel data from a pooled sample of the Young Men. Using these data, a pooled time-series, cross-sectional model is estimated in which changes in real wages are related to changes in the national unemployment rate. Analysis reveals real wages to be very procyclical. A percentage point decline in the unemployment rate is associated with a rise in real wages of 1.5%- 2%. Averaging over a cyclically changing labor force is found to countercyclically bias the real wage, although the effect is not large. Disaggregation also shows that real wages behave very differently across individuals.
Bibliography Citation
Bils, Mark J. "Real Wages over the Business Cycle: Evidence from Panel Data." Journal of Political Economy 93,4 (August 1985): 666-689.