These next questions will ask you for your best guess at the chance that something will happen within the next year. You can think of the PERCENT CHANCE that some event will occur as the number of CHANCES OUT OF 100 that the event will take place.

If you think that something is impossible, consider it as having a 0 percent chance. If you think the event is possible but unlikely, you might say there is a 3 percent chance or a 15 percent chance. If you think the chance is pretty even, you can say there is a 46 percent chance or perhaps a 52 percent chance. If you think the event is likely, but not certain, you might say there is a 78 percent chance or a 94 percent chance. If you think it is certain to happen, give it a 100 percent chance. Of course, you don't have to use these examples, use any number from 0 to 100 as you think appropriate.

Think about yourself one year from now. The first questions concern what you expect to be doing then, in terms of school and work.

What is the percent chance that you will be a student in a regular school one year from now?

(INTERVIEWER: IF R ASKS WHAT IS MEANT BY REGULAR SCHOOL SAY: REGULAR SCHOOL IS ONE THAT OFFERS AN ACADEMIC DIPLOMA OR DEGREE: E.G., ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, HIGH SCHOOL, COLLEGE, GRADUATE SCHOOL, LAW SCHOOL, OR NURSING PROGRAM LEADING TO AN RN DEGREE. NOT INCLUDED AS REGULAR SCHOOL ARE: TRAINING AT A TECHNICAL INSTITUTE, LICENSE TRADE PROGRAMS, ETC., UNLESS THE CREDITS OBTAINED ARE TRANSFERRABLE TO A REGULAR SCHOOL AND COULD COUNT TOWARD AN ACADEMIC DIPLOMA OR DEGREE.)

If you are in school a year from now, what is the percent chance that you will also be working for pay more than 20 hours per week?

(INTERVIEWER: IF R ASKS WHAT IS MEANT BY WORKING SAY: BY WORKING WE MEAN WORKING FOR PAY FOR AN EMPLOYER OR IN A FAMILY BUSINESS WHETHER OR NOT YOU ARE PAID, OR WORKING FOR YOURSELF OR BEING SELF-EMPLOYED.)

If you are not in school a year from now, what is the percent chance that you will be working for pay more than 20 hours per week?

(INTERVIEWER: IF R ASKS WHAT IS MEANT BY WORKING SAY: BY WORKING WE MEAN WORKING FOR PAY FOR AN EMPLOYER OR IN A FAMILY BUSINESS WHETHER OR NOT YOU ARE PAID, OR WORKING FOR YOURSELF OR BEING SELF-EMPLOYED.)

What is the percent chance that you will get married within the next year?

([gender] = 2);



/* Check gender to see if R is female and skip accordingly. */

What is the percent chance you will become pregnant within one year from now?

What is the percent chance that you will get someone pregnant within the next year?

The next questions concern some risks that you might face in the next year.

What is the percent chance that you will drink enough to get seriously drunk, at least once in the next year?

What is the percent chance that you will be the victim of a violent crime at least once in the next year?

What is the percent chance that you will be arrested, whether rightly or wrongly, at least once in the next year?

Now think about five years from now, you will be [R's calculated age in 5 years] years old. We will start again with questions about what you expect to be doing in terms of school and work.

What is the percent chance that you will be a student in a regular school five years from now?

(INTERVIEWER: IF R ASKS WHAT IS MEANT BY REGULAR SCHOOL SAY: REGULAR SCHOOL IS ONE THAT OFFERS AN ACADEMIC DIPLOMA OR DEGREE: E.G., ELEMENTARY SCHOOL, HIGH SCHOOL, COLLEGE, GRADUATE SCHOOL, LAW SCHOOL, OR NURSING PROGRAM LEADING TO AN RN DEGREE. NOT INCLUDED AS REGULAR SCHOOL ARE: TRAINING AT A TECHNICAL INSTITUTE, LICENSE TRADE PROGRAMS, ETC., UNLESS THE CREDITS OBTAINED ARE TRANSFERRABLE TO A REGULAR SCHOOL AND COULD COUNT TOWARD AN ACADEMIC DIPLOMA OR DEGREE.)1

If you are in school five years from now, what is the percent chance that you will also be working for pay more than 20 hours per week?

(INTERVIEWER: IF R ASKS WHAT IS MEANT BY WORKING SAY: BY WORKING WE MEAN WORKING FOR PAY FOR AN EMPLOYER OR IN A FAMILY BUSINESS WHETHER OR NOT YOU ARE PAID, OR WORKING FOR YOURSELF OR BEING SELF-EMPLOYED.)

If you are not in school five years from now, what is the percent chance that you will be working for pay more than 20 hours per week?

(INTERVIEWER: IF R ASKS WHAT IS MEANT BY WORKING SAY: BY WORKING WE MEAN WORKING FOR PAY FOR AN EMPLOYER OR IN A FAMILY BUSINESS WHETHER OR NOT YOU ARE PAID, OR WORKING FOR YOURSELF OR BEING SELF-EMPLOYED.)

What is the percent chance that you will get married within the next five years?

([gender] = 2);



/* Check gender to see if R is female and skip accordingly. */

What is the percent chance that you will become pregnant within the next five years?

What is the percent chance that you will get someone pregnant within the next five years?

The next questions concern some risks that you might face in the next five years.

What is the percent chance that you will drink enough to get seriously drunk, at least once in the next five years?

What is the percent chance that you will be the victim of a violent crime at least once in the next five years?

What is the percent chance that you will be arrested, whether rightly or wrongly, at least once in the next five years?