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Title: AFDC Benefits and Nonmarital Births to Young Women
Resulting in 1 citation.
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Hoffman, Saul D. Foster, E. Michael |
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AFDC Benefits and Nonmarital Births to Young Women JCPR Working Paper 3, Joint Center for Poverty Research, June 1997. Also: http://ideas.repec.org/p/wop/jopovw/3.html Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: Joint Center for Poverty Research Keyword(s): Adolescent Fertility; Aid for Families with Dependent Children (AFDC); Behavior; Childbearing, Adolescent; Modeling, Fixed Effects; Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. Building on recent work by Rosenzweig (1999), this paper re-examines the effect of AFDC benefits on early nonmarital childbearing. Unlike most previous work in this area, Rosenzweig finds a statistically significant and quantitatively large positive effect of AFDC benefits. Using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we replicate Rosenzweig's analysis and explore the reasons his findings differ from earlier research findings. We are able to reproduce his main finding that AFDC generosity influences non-marital childbearing when state and cohort fixed-effects are included. However, we find that model specification matters a great deal. An alternative specification of state fixed-effects yields no evidence of an AFDC effect, and when we focus on fertility only through age 19 (as in prior work), we also find no AFDC effect. This latter finding implies that the behavior of women in their early 20s may be far more sensitive to welfare generosity than is that of teenagers. |
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Bibliography Citation
Hoffman, Saul D. and E. Michael Foster. "AFDC Benefits and Nonmarital Births to Young Women." JCPR Working Paper 3, Joint Center for Poverty Research, June 1997. |