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Source: Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Carnegie-Mellon University
Resulting in 2 citations.
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Gonul, Fusun Feride |
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An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of AFDC on Work, Childbearing, and Marital Status Decisions of Young Women Paper, Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Carnegie-Mellon University, 1988 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: Carnegie-Mellon University Keyword(s): Aid for Families with Dependent Children (AFDC); Childbearing; Hispanics; Labor Force Participation; Life Cycle Research; Marital Status; Simultaneity Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. This paper presents an empirical analysis of labor force participation, marital status and fertility patterns of young Hispanic, black and white women over the observed portion of their life cycle with special attention to the effect of Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) on their decisions. While prior literature has primarily considered effects of AFDC payments on these decision variables separately, there is no comparable evidence when these choices are considered simultaneously. In this study three choice variables, marital status, labor force participation, and fertility, are interacted with each other in a hazard function framework. Estimation is done using data from the NLSY. The main findings are such that a favorable change in the basic AFDC guarantee gives incentives to have a child, and incentives not to work. Impact of AFDC on changes in marital status is found to be insignificant. There is some evidence that the insignificant effect of AFDC on marriage probability is due to the interaction of work and childbearing decisions with the marriage decision. |
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Bibliography Citation
Gonul, Fusun Feride. "An Empirical Analysis of the Effects of AFDC on Work, Childbearing, and Marital Status Decisions of Young Women." Paper, Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Carnegie-Mellon University, 1988. |
| 2. |
Gonul, Fusun Feride |
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Comparison of Hazard Functions with Duration Dependence and Stayer-Mover Structure with an Application to Divorce Paper, Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Carnegie-Mellon University, 1988 Cohort(s): Young Women Publisher: Carnegie-Mellon University Keyword(s): Behavior; Data Analysis; Divorce; Marital Stability; Marriage; Modeling, Hazard/Event History/Survival/Duration; Monte Carlo; Research Methodology; Statistical Analysis Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. Performances of hazard functions with an implicit stayer-mover structure are examined in Monte Carlo samples. The results are then applied to data on duration of first marriages from the NLS of Young Women. The Monte Carlo experiments conducted in this study uncover the cases when the built-in stayer-mover structure of the flexible hazard function is useful and when it is not. Only in some cases, the flexible hazard function yields a plausible estimate of the stayer proportion, and in other cases it either under- or over-estimates it. It is important to be aware of this bias if one uses flexible hazard functions to obtain estimates of life time behavior where a change may never take place, as in, for example, divorce for those married. |
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Bibliography Citation
Gonul, Fusun Feride. "Comparison of Hazard Functions with Duration Dependence and Stayer-Mover Structure with an Application to Divorce." Paper, Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Carnegie-Mellon University, 1988. |