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Author: Stoecker, Charles
Resulting in 2 citations.
1. Stoecker, Charles
Chill Out Mom: Extreme Cold Induced Maternal Stress in Utero and Later Outcomes
Presented: San Diego CA, Western Economic Association International Annual Conference, June-July 2011
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY79
Publisher: Western Economic Association International
Keyword(s): Armed Forces Qualifications Test (AFQT); Children, Well-Being; Environment, Pollution/Urban Density; Mothers, Health; Peabody Individual Achievement Test (PIAT- Math); Peabody Individual Achievement Test (PIAT- Reading); Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test (PPVT); Poverty; Pre-natal Care/Exposure; Pre/post Natal Behavior; Pregnancy and Pregnancy Outcomes

Bibliography Citation
Stoecker, Charles. "Chill Out Mom: Extreme Cold Induced Maternal Stress in Utero and Later Outcomes." Presented: San Diego CA, Western Economic Association International Annual Conference, June-July 2011.
2. Stoecker, Charles
Long Run Outcomes and Early Life Events
Ph.D. Dissertation, Department of Economics, University of California--Davis, 2011
Cohort(s): Children of the NLSY79, NLSY79
Publisher: ProQuest Dissertations & Theses (PQDT)
Keyword(s): Armed Forces Qualifications Test (AFQT); Children, Well-Being; Environment, Pollution/Urban Density; Modeling, Fixed Effects; Mothers, Health; Neighborhood Effects; Peabody Individual Achievement Test (PIAT- Math); Peabody Individual Achievement Test (PIAT- Reading); Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test (PPVT); Poverty; Pre-natal Care/Exposure; Pre/post Natal Behavior; Pregnancy and Pregnancy Outcomes; Socioeconomic Factors

Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher.

In chapter one I find in utero exposure to extremely cold temperature shocks in the third trimester has persistent negative effects on later life test scores. I am the first to identify the precise timing of the long-run negative impacts of an in utero stressor. This paper contributes to a burgeoning literature that seeks to more fully map out the effect of environmental stressors on the early life health production function. To identify this impact, I exploit the plausibly exogenous variation in temperature shocks that remains after daily temperatures from National Climatic Data Global Summary of the Day have been detrended and demeaned. This variation is combined with data on exact date and state of birth and later life test scores from restricted use versions of the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth and the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth Children and Young Adults. These negative effects are concentrated among vulnerable populations and are similar across several different tests given at different ages. I estimate that one extra very cold day experienced during the third trimester leads to a later test score decrease of 0.04 standard deviations for children in low SES families. These results are consistent with previous literature that shows maternal stress during pregnancy can have long-term negative consequences for offspring.

In chapter two, we introduce gender ratios as a relatively under-exploited metric of fetal health and use it to estimate the causal impact of ambient prenatal pollution exposure on fetal deaths. Since a complete census of true fetal deaths is impossible to obtain, we exploit the differential in fetal susceptibility to environmental stressors across genders to estimate this effect. Males are more vulnerable to maternal stress in utero, and thus are more likely to suffer fetal death due to pollution exposure. We apply this metric in the context of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1970 (CAAA) which provide a source of exogenous variation in county-level ambient total suspended particulate matter (TSPs). We find that a one standard deviation increase in TSPs decreases the percentage of live births that are male by 1.6 percentage points. We then use the observed differences in neonatal and one-year mortality rates across genders in response to pollution exposure to estimate total fetal losses in utero. Our preferred calculations suggest the pollution reductions from the CAAA prevented approximately 59,000 fetal deaths in 1972.

In chapter three, we use draft lottery number assignment during the Vietnam Era as a natural experiment to examine the effects of military service on crime. Using exact dates of birth for inmates in state and federal prisons in 1979, 1986, and 1991, we find robust evidence of effects on violent crimes among whites. In particular, we find that draft eligibility increases incarceration rates for violent crimes by 14 to 19 percent. Correspondingly, two-sample instrumental variable estimates imply that military service increases the probability of incarceration for a violent crime by 0.27 percentage points. Results for nonwhites are not robust. We conduct two falsification tests, one that applies each of the three binding lotteries to unaffected cohorts and another that considers the effects of lotteries that were not used to draft servicemen.

Bibliography Citation
Stoecker, Charles. Long Run Outcomes and Early Life Events. Ph.D. Dissertation, Department of Economics, University of California--Davis, 2011.