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Author: Pemberton, Jennifer
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Reynolds, John R. Pemberton, Jennifer |
Rising College Expectations Among Youth in the United States: A Comparison of the 1979 and 1997 NLSY Journal of Human Resources 36,4 (Fall 2001): 703-726. Also: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3069639 Cohort(s): NLSY79, NLSY97 Publisher: University of Wisconsin Press Keyword(s): College Degree; College Education; Educational Aspirations/Expectations; Ethnic Differences; Family Background and Culture; Family Resources; Family Structure; Gender Differences; High School Curriculum; Labor Market, Secondary; Local Labor Market; Modeling, Probit; Peers/Peer influence/Peer relations; Racial Differences We examine the rise in college expectations among 15- and 16-year-olds in the 1979 and 1997 NLSY. Probit models estimate the effects of gender, race/ethnicity, family characteristics, and local economic conditions on the probability of expecting a college degree. Race/ethnic differences and the influences of family resources and county economic conditions declined between 1979 and 1997. In contrast, girls became more likely to expect a college degree than boys, and family structure grew in importance over time. Family resources and structure appear to shape expectations largely through differences in school peers, teacher quality and interest, and past academic performance. |
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Bibliography Citation
Reynolds, John R. and Jennifer Pemberton. "Rising College Expectations Among Youth in the United States: A Comparison of the 1979 and 1997 NLSY." Journal of Human Resources 36,4 (Fall 2001): 703-726.
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