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Author: Falaris, Evangelos M.

Resulting in 13 citations.

1.	Baker, Paula C. Crowley, Joan E. D'Amico, Ronald Falaris, Evangelos M. Morgan, William R. Peters, H. Elizabeth Willke, Richard
1.	Pathways to the Future, Volume V: A Report on the National Longitudinal Surveys of Youth Labor Market Experience in 1983 Report, Columbus OH: Center for Human Resource Research, The Ohio State University, 1985 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: Center for Human Resource Research Keyword(s): Aid for Families with Dependent Children (AFDC); Behavior; Business Cycles; College Enrollment; Comprehensive Employment and Training Act (CETA); Educational Attainment; Educational Costs; Job Training; Training, Post-School; Transition, School to Work This report describes the work experience of the nationally-representative sample of 12,000 Americans who were age 14-21 when first interviewed in 1979 and who have been surveyed annually since then. Willke -- Chapter One evaluates outcomes for post-school participants in government employment and training programs with special attention given to selectivity bias. D'Amico & Baker -- Chapter Two describes early labor market differentiation among terminal high school graduates. Morgan -- Chapter Three analyzes business cycle effects on college enrollment behavior. Crowley -- Chapter Four provides a descriptive analysis of welfare patterns among young mothers. Falaris & Peters -- Chapter Five discusses the effect of demographic factors on schooling and entry wages.
	Bibliography Citation Baker, Paula C., Joan E. Crowley, Ronald D'Amico, Evangelos M. Falaris, William R. Morgan, H. Elizabeth Peters and Richard Willke. "Pathways to the Future, Volume V: A Report on the National Longitudinal Surveys of Youth Labor Market Experience in 1983." Report, Columbus OH: Center for Human Resource Research, The Ohio State University, 1985.

2.	Falaris, Evangelos M.
2.	An Empirical Study of the Timing and Spacing of Childbearing Southern Economic Journal 54,2 (October 1987): 287-300. Also: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1059314 Cohort(s): Young Women Publisher: Southern Economic Association Keyword(s): Births, Repeat / Spacing; Childbearing; Earnings; Employment; First Birth Data from the Young Women's cohort of the NLS are used to study the role of economic forces on the timing and spacing of births. An empirical model of the timing and spacing of childbearing is estimated and evidence is presented that economic factors significantly influence these aspects of fertility. The main results with respect to economic explanatory variables are that an upward shift in a woman's wage profile results in a tendency to postpone childbearing and an opposing tendency for closer spacing. An upward shift in her husband's earnings profile results in earlier timing of births.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. "An Empirical Study of the Timing and Spacing of Childbearing." Southern Economic Journal 54,2 (October 1987): 287-300.

3.	Falaris, Evangelos M.
3.	An Empirical Study of the Timing and Spacing of Childbearing Report, Columbus OH: Center for Human Resource Research, The Ohio State University, 1983 Cohort(s): Young Women Publisher: Center for Human Resource Research Keyword(s): Births, Repeat / Spacing; Childbearing; Earnings; Employment; First Birth Data from the Young Women's cohort of the NLS are used to study the role of economic forces on the timing and spacing of births. An empirical model of the timing and spacing of childbearing is estimated and evidence is presented that economic factors significantly influence these aspects of fertility. The main results with respect to economic explanatory variables are that an upward shift in a woman's wage profile results in a tendency to postpone childbearing and an opposing tendency for closer spacing. An upward shift in her husband's earnings profile results in earlier timing of births.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. "An Empirical Study of the Timing and Spacing of Childbearing." Report, Columbus OH: Center for Human Resource Research, The Ohio State University, 1983.

4.	Falaris, Evangelos M.
4.	Migration and Wages of Young Men Journal of Human Resources 23,4 (Fall 1988): 514-534. Also: http://www.jstor.org/stable/145811 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: University of Wisconsin Press Keyword(s): Migration; Regions; Wages, Young Men This report specifies a two-period nested logit migration model with selectivity. The model is estimated using a sample of young male workers from the NLSY. The respondent's choices among the nine U.S. Census divisions during the first two years after leaving full-time schooling are studied. The author addresses several methodological issues and documents that wages significantly affect the migration decisions of young workers.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. "Migration and Wages of Young Men." Journal of Human Resources 23,4 (Fall 1988): 514-534.

5.	Falaris, Evangelos M. Peters, H. Elizabeth
5.	Leveling the Peaks and Troughs of the Demographic Cycle: An Application to School Enrollment Rates: A Comment Review of Economics and Statistics 73,3 (August 1991): 572-575. Also: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2109589 Cohort(s): NLSY79, Young Men, Young Women Publisher: Harvard University Press Keyword(s): Behavior; Demography; Income; Labor Supply; Schooling; Unemployment; Well-Being Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. We present new evidence which rejects Wachter and Wascher's (1984) timing hypothesis of the effect of the demographic cycle on schooling. e formalize the timing hypothesis in the context of a statistical model and argue that the timing hypothesis implies certain restrictions on the parameters of the model. Using more detailed data than those used by Wachter and Wascher, we estimate the model, test the restrictions, and reject the timing hypothesis. The study of Wachter and Wascher has enhanced our understanding of the effects of the demographic cycle on individual behavior by showing that individuals do not passively suffer the adverse consequences of a baby boom on their economic well-being, but they alter their investment in schooling in response to such a demographic phenomenon. We have further explored and clarified the relation between the demographic cycle, schooling attainment and the timing of its completion.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. and H. Elizabeth Peters. "Leveling the Peaks and Troughs of the Demographic Cycle: An Application to School Enrollment Rates: A Comment." Review of Economics and Statistics 73,3 (August 1991): 572-575.

6.	Falaris, Evangelos M. Peters, H. Elizabeth
6.	New Evidence on the Effect of the Demographic Cycle on the Timing of School Completion Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Delaware, 1988 Cohort(s): NLSY79, Young Men, Young Women Publisher: Department of Economics, University of Delaware Keyword(s): Behavior; Educational Attainment; Educational Returns; Gender Differences; Modeling; Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID); Schooling; Well-Being Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. This paper presents new evidence which rejects the timing hypothesis of the effect of the demographic cycle on schooling which was proposed by Wachter and Wascher (1984). The authors formalize the timing hypothesis in the context of a statistical model and argue that the timing hypothesis implies certain restrictions on the parameters of this model. Using more detailed data than those used by Wachter and Wascher, we estimate the model, test the restrictions, and reject the timing hypothesis. The study of Wachter and Wascher has enhanced our understanding of the effects of the demographic cycle on individual behavior by showing that individuals do not passively suffer any adverse consequences of a baby boom on their economic well-being but they alter their investment in schooling in response to such a demographic phenomenon. This research clarifies the relation between the demographic cycle, schooling attainment and the timing of its completion.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. and H. Elizabeth Peters. "New Evidence on the Effect of the Demographic Cycle on the Timing of School Completion." Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Delaware, 1988.

7.	Falaris, Evangelos M. Peters, H. Elizabeth
7.	Responses of Female Labor Supply and Fertility to the Demographic Cycle NLS Discussion Paper No. 92-9, Washington DC: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, December 1989. Also: Final Report, U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 1989. Cohort(s): Mature Women, NLSY79, Young Women Publisher: U.S. Department of Labor Keyword(s): Childbearing; Fertility; First Birth; Labor Supply; Wages; Women This paper proposes a model according to which women alter the timing of the first birth and the return to work following that birth in order to mitigate any adverse effects of the demographic cycle on their wage profiles. The authors predict that women who were born during the upswing of the demographic cycle would have an incentive to have their first birth earlier and to return to work more quickly (holding schooling constant) than would women who were born during the downswing of the demographic cycle. The empirical evidence confirms these predictions.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. and H. Elizabeth Peters. "Responses of Female Labor Supply and Fertility to the Demographic Cycle." NLS Discussion Paper No. 92-9, Washington DC: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, December 1989.

8.	Falaris, Evangelos M. Peters, H. Elizabeth
8.	Responses of Female Labor Supply and Fertility to the Demographic Cycle Research in Population Economics 8 (1996): 63-89. Also: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/12320269 Cohort(s): Mature Women, NLSY79, Young Women Publisher: JAI Press, Inc. Keyword(s): Childbearing; Demography; Fertility; Labor Force Participation; Labor Supply; Labor Turnover; Modeling, Hazard/Event History/Survival/Duration; Wages We propose a model in which women alter the timing of childbearing and duration of time not working following childbearing in order to mitigate any adverse effects of the demographic cycle on their lifetime wages. The responses to the demographic cycle include both a standard opportunity cost argument women are more likely to leave the labor force when wages are low and a more complicated and forward looking cohort choice effect in which the timing of labor force participation can enable a woman to join a labor market cohort with a more favorable lifetime wage profile. We explore the reduced-form empirical implications of our model and estimate the importance of these two responses utilizing data from three cohorts of the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience which include women born from 1918-1964. The hazard rate estimates of the timing of the first birth and the return to work following that birth indicate that women who were born during the upswing of the demographic cycle begin childbearing earlier and return to work more quickly (holding schooling constant) than do women who were born during the downswing of the demographic cycle. These results imply that when responding to the demographic cycle, the cohort choice effect is more important than the opportunity cost effect.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. and H. Elizabeth Peters. "Responses of Female Labor Supply and Fertility to the Demographic Cycle." Research in Population Economics 8 (1996): 63-89.

9.	Falaris, Evangelos M. Peters, H. Elizabeth
9.	Schooling Choices and Demographic Cycles Journal of Human Resources 27,4 (Fall 1992): 551-574. Also: http://www.jstor.org/stable/146075 Cohort(s): NLSY79, Young Men, Young Women Publisher: University of Wisconsin Press Keyword(s): Demography; Educational Attainment; Life Cycle Research; Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID); School Completion; Schooling This paper examines the effect of demographic cycles on schooling choices and the timing of school completion. Utilizing data from the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience and from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we find that men and women born during the upswing of a demographic cycle obtain more schooling and take longer to finish a year of schooling than comparable individuals born during the downswing of a demographic cycle. The patterns that we document are more complex than would be predicted by any of the theoretical models of educational responses to demographic cycles that have been presented in the literature.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. and H. Elizabeth Peters. "Schooling Choices and Demographic Cycles." Journal of Human Resources 27,4 (Fall 1992): 551-574.

10.	Falaris, Evangelos M. Peters, H. Elizabeth
10.	Survey Attrition and Schooling Choices Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Delaware, February 1994 Cohort(s): NLSY79, Young Men, Young Women Publisher: Department of Economics, University of Delaware Keyword(s): Attrition; Data Quality/Consistency; Dropouts; Educational Attainment; Life Cycle Research; Longitudinal Surveys; Modeling; Nonresponse; Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID); Schooling Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. It is well known that longitudinal surveys lose parts of their samples over time to attrition (or nonresponse). Little is known, however, about the effect of survey attrition on the estimates of statistical models which are obtained using longitudinal data. In this paper we propose a new method of studying the effect of survey attrition on estimates of statistical models. We apply his method to the study of schooling choices. The present paper uses data from an earlier paper (Falaris and Peters 1992) and investigates the effect of survey attrition on regressions of both schooling attainment of individuals and of the age of school completion on exogenous characteristics. This is accomplished by comparing baseline regressions estimated using all observations on individuals who were observed at a certain point in the life cycle wide regressions based on samples which exclude individuals who missed any interviews either before or after that point. In the life cycle and up to the most recent observation period which is available to us now. We use data from tie Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) and the National Longitudinal Surveys of Labor Market Experience Young Men, Young Women and Youth.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. and H. Elizabeth Peters. "Survey Attrition and Schooling Choices." Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Delaware, February 1994.

11.	Falaris, Evangelos M. Peters, H. Elizabeth
11.	Survey Attrition and Schooling Choices Journal of Human Resources 33,2 (Spring 1998): 531-554. Also: http://www.jstor.org/stable/146440 Cohort(s): NLSY79, Young Men, Young Women Publisher: University of Wisconsin Press Keyword(s): Attrition; Behavior; Family Background and Culture; Modeling; Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID); Schooling We use data from three cohorts of the National Longitudinal Surveys of L abor Market Experience and from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics to study the effect of survey attrition on estimates of statistical models of schooling choices. We estimate regressions using data on people who always respond to the surveys (stayers) and on people who miss some surveys (attritors) and test whether the same statistical model describes the behavior of stayers and attritors. In general (with a few exceptions) we find that attrition either has no effect on the regression estimates or only affects the estimates of the intercept (and sometimes the coefficients of birth year dummies) and does not affect estimates of family background slope coefficients.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. and H. Elizabeth Peters. "Survey Attrition and Schooling Choices." Journal of Human Resources 33,2 (Spring 1998): 531-554.

12.	Falaris, Evangelos M. Peters, H. Elizabeth
12.	The Effect of Demographic Factors on Schooling and Entry Wages In: Pathways to the Future, Volume V: A Report on the National Longitudinal Surveys of Youth Labor Market Experience in 1983, P.Baker, ed., Columbus OH: Center for Human Resource Research, The Ohio State University, 1985 Cohort(s): NLSY79 Publisher: Center for Human Resource Research Keyword(s): Demography; Schooling; Wage Levels; Wages Chapter Five discusses the effect of demographic factors on schooling and entry wages.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. and H. Elizabeth Peters. "The Effect of Demographic Factors on Schooling and Entry Wages." In: Pathways to the Future, Volume V: A Report on the National Longitudinal Surveys of Youth Labor Market Experience in 1983, P.Baker, ed., Columbus OH: Center for Human Resource Research, The Ohio State University, 1985.

13.	Falaris, Evangelos M. Peters, H. Elizabeth
13.	The Effect of the Demographic Cycle on Schooling and Entry Wages Working Paper, University of Delaware, 1988 Cohort(s): NLSY79, Young Men, Young Women Publisher: Department of Economics, University of Delaware Keyword(s): Educational Attainment; Educational Returns; Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID); Schooling; Wages Permission to reprint the abstract has not been received from the publisher. This paper examines the effect of the demographic cycle on schooling attainment, age at school completion, and the level of entry wages. Unlike most previous studies which assume that schooling is exogenous, the authors explicitly treat schooling attainment and the age at school completion as choice variables. The direct effect of cohort size on entry wages and its indirect effect on wages through the schooling choices of individuals are studied. It was found that both men and women change their schooling attainment and age at school completion in response to the demographic cycle. These changes lead to significant indirect effects of cohort size on the entry wages of men and of women which tend to mitigate the adverse direct effects on entry wages of an increase in cohort size.
	Bibliography Citation Falaris, Evangelos M. and H. Elizabeth Peters. "The Effect of the Demographic Cycle on Schooling and Entry Wages." Working Paper, University of Delaware, 1988.

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